Will Tom Homan say “Sanctuary”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Sanctuary” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (82%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

68%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 8 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=sanctuary

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Sanctuary

Probability
68% · n=11
Settled
9/11 (82%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Tom HomanguestIn transcript

…a lot of the rhetoric that you see every day, especially in sanctuary cities and at these protests that resist. Members of Congress saying ICE…

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 22, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Aug 16, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Jul 19, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes1
Jul 12, 2026SanctuaryKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 6, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Apr 22, 2026SanctuaryKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Mar 29, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Mar 26, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Feb 16, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Feb 13, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–
Feb 5, 2026SanctuaryKalshiNo–
Jan 31, 2026SanctuaryKalshiNo–
Jan 30, 2026SanctuaryKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Sanctuary”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Sanctuary” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (82%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Sanctuary” next time?
68%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Sanctuary’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/sanctuary (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=sanctuary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP