Will Scott Bessent say “Kevin / Warsh”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Kevin / Warsh” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 14, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Feb 13, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Kevin / Warsh
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…back to substantial disinflation. But most importantly, I think we've got the Warsh Fed now. It's a new day at the Fed. The Treasury secretary…
…confident that the process that we have laid out in terms of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed chair, he's going to have the hearing…
…very good meeting yesterday with somebody called the big six. NEC director, Kevin Hassett, myself, Speaker Johnson, Leader Thune, Committee Chairman Jason Smith and Senator…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kevin / Warsh |  Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Kevin / Warsh | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Kevin / Warsh”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Kevin / Warsh” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Kevin / Warsh” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Kevin / Warsh’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/kevin-or-warsh (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=kevin%20%2F%20warsh · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP