# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · interview 2026-02-14 · 12 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26FEB14 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:35:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-14 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26FEB14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Squawk Box, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	6	6	1	YYYYYY	1	1	0.71	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	4	4	1	YYYY	1	1	0.67	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
China	china	6	4	0.67	YYYnYn	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
GDP	gdp	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.41	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	6	2	0.33	nYnYnn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist	yes
Tax Cut	tax cut	4	0	0	nnnn	1	1	0.26	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			1	0	0.45	prior	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0			1	0	0.45	prior	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0			1	0	0.45	prior	no
Kevin / Warsh	kevin|warsh	0	0			1	1	0.45	prior	yes