ABC World News Tonight, October 21, 2026
On the Oct 21, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 11 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 18 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 71%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| World Series | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 42%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 64%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 53%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| George Washington Bridge | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Witkoff | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nor'easter | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 58%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Jalen Hurts | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| France / French | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Starlink | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ebola | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 23:26 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · ABC News (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
10 matches for “Russia”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. The American prisoner released from Russia. The retired American school teacher freed by Russia. Tonight, President Trump's special…
…begin tonight here with the breaking news. The American prisoner released from Russia and now returning to the United States. The US says the 74year-old…
…freed American Steven Hubbert, the school teacher who was wrongfully detained in Russia for four years on a plane bound for the US, smiling, holding…
President Trump at the White House pressed if the US gave Russia anything for Hubard's release.
place. But those sanctions were meant as a deterrent in Russia's war on Ukraine. And as the president's envoy called Putin a humanitarian, our James…
Where the listed words were said
The now 74 year old captured in eastern Ukraine in 2022 by Russian troops. This video showing him zip tied in the back of a…
…release coming as President Trump's envoy, Steve Witoff, sat across from Vladimir Putin, calling him a humanitarian even as the war rages on. You talk…
…be okay. When we come back here in Florida tonight, Tampa Bay now going to the World Series were the stingrays they saved. Good luck.
…quote audacity to do it. Tonight, the disturbing video appearing to show ICE agents hitting a man with their vehicle. What Homeland Security is now…
…a hazmat emergency in Ohio after this 5,500galon tank started spewing noxious gas. EMS called to the MC tank transport terminal in Toledo around 9:30…
storm, dangerous wind gusts and flooding. Lee Goldberg standing by. Tonight, the midterms and the backlash. The Ohio race for governor. The Republican ad taking…
…murder after a driver is shot and then crashes on the George Washington Bridge. That detective charged. Aaron Kurski standing by with what we know.…
Today the president asked if he like Witkoff would describe Putin as a humanitarian. Well, I guess you have could say for that particular purpose,…
Hey David, that nor easter now has tropical DNA and a name, subtropical storm Josephine. And coastal impacts, they remain the same from the Outer…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-21:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-21:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP