What is the probability “Putin” is said on World News Tonight next time?

63%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Putin” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Putin” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 23, 2026, “Putin” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 6, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 8 latest transcripts we have (8 episodes), it reached the market's count 5 times.

63%from settlement history only · n=5Next: Episode, Oct 23, 2026 · counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 4 times
Counts: any host or reporter
Market: 56¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

Updated Oct 23, 2026, 21:40 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Putin

Probability: 63% · n=5
Settled: 4/5 (80%)
Latest transcripts: said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: any host or reporter

1 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter15:43In transcript

AND TONIGHT, AFTER U.S. SPECIAL ENVOY STEVE WITKOFF PRAISED VLADIMIR PUTIN FOR RELEASING HUBBARD AND CALLED HIM A HUMANITARIAN, THE KREMLIN UNLEASHING A DEADLY BARRAGE…

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 10 times (counts)

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Counts: any host or reporter

10 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter0:26In transcript

…The American prisoner released from Russia. The retired American school teacher freed by Russia. Tonight, President Trump's special envoy Steve Whit meeting with Vladimir Putin,

Speaker not labelledreporter3:09In transcript

…special envoy Steve Witco arrived in Russia for a meeting with Vladimir Putin. Witkoff calling Putin a humanitarian. Late today, President Trump was asked if…

Every match in the transcript

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · settled yes

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What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 4 times (counts)

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Find “Putin” in this transcript