What is the probability “Witkoff” is said on World News Tonight next time?

48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Witkoff” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Witkoff” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Witkoff” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 21, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.

48%from settlement history only · n=3counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 04:45 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Witkoff

Probability: 48% · n=3
Settled: 2/3 (67%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: any host or reporter

1 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter15:42In transcript

AND TONIGHT, AFTER U.S. SPECIAL ENVOY STEVE WITKOFF PRAISED VLADIMIR PUTIN FOR RELEASING HUBBARD AND CALLED HIM A HUMANITARIAN, THE KREMLIN UNLEASHING A DEADLY BARRAGE…

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: any host or reporter

2 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter3:09In transcript

…envoy Steve Witco arrived in Russia for a meeting with Vladimir Putin. Witkoff calling Putin a humanitarian. Late today, President Trump was asked if he…

Speaker not labelledreporter5:43In transcript

Today the president asked if he like Witkoff would describe Putin as a humanitarian. Well, I guess you have could say for that particular purpose,…