Will “Nor'easter” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nor'easter” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 28, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Nor'easter
- Probability
- 56% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
1 counted.
Hey David, that nor easter now has tropical DNA and a name, subtropical storm Josephine. And coastal impacts, they remain the same from the Outer…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: any host or reporter
2 counted.
What this means for his future. The nor'easter right off the coast tonight. Dangerous winds and this is on the move. We'll go to Ginger…
…Ran and Ali, our thanks to you as well. We're going to turn now to the dangerous nor'easter hitting parts of the east coast tonight.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Nor'easter |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Nor'easter | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Nor'easter | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Nor'easter | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Nor'easter | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How often is “Nor'easter” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nor'easter” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 28, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nor'easter” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Nor'easter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/noreaster (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=nor%27easter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP