Will “Ebola” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ebola” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Ebola
- Probability
- 23% · n=10
- Settled
- 0/10 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ebola |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Ebola | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Ebola” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ebola” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ebola” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Ebola’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/ebola (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=ebola · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP