Will “France / French” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “France / French” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 19, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
France / French
- Probability
- 38% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
8 counted.
…suspending sanctions against vladimir putin and look at this tonight the remarkable moment a ukrainian drone rescues a wounded soldier we're also live from france
We turn now to France. We're also live in that country tonight where violent protests have been sweeping across much of the country. stores looted,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | France / French |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | France / French | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | France / French | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often is “France / French” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “France / French” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 19, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “France / French” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘France / French’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/france-or-french (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=france%20%2F%20french · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP