What is the probability “Starlink” is said on World News Tonight next time?

40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Starlink” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Starlink” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Starlink” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 4.

40%from settlement history only · n=3counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 08:12 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Starlink

Probability: 40% · n=3
Settled: 1/3 (33%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: any host or reporter

9 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter1:23In transcript

…TONIGHT WITH PRESIDENT ZELENSKY. WHAT ZELENSKY IS NOW SAYING ABOUT ELON MUSK'S STARLINK WITH RUSSIAN DRONES COMING AT UKRAINE, WHY HE SAYS IT'S CRITICAL THEY'RE…

Speaker not labelledreporter13:33In transcript

…ON ONE WITH PRESIDENT ZELENSKY. WHAT ZELENSKY TELLS JAMES ABOUT ELON MUSK'S STARLINK WITH RUSSIAN DRONES COMING AT UKRAINE. WHY ZELENSKY SAYS IT IS CRITICAL…

Every match in the transcript