ABC World News Tonight, October 19, 2026
On the Oct 19, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 10 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 68%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| France / French | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jalen Hurts | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 51%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Nor'easter | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Strait Of Hormuz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Zacharia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tesla / SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alberta | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
16 matches for “Trump”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…every night. Tonight, the breaking news as we come on the air after Monday Night Football. The arrest tonight, the alleged threats against President Trump.
…overhead was that jet drone the new russian attacks tonight after president trump signed an executive order suspending sanctions against vladimir putin and look at…
…news, this arrest for an alleged threat involving the president, with President Trump now set to hit the campaign trail with just two weeks until…
…Wichita rally. Authorities say 24-year-old Jaden Reed posting on Facebook, let's shoot Trump. Honestly, where's our shooter? He also allegedly posted he knew where Trump's
…the wrong direction. 71% say the price of gas is unaffordable. President Trump campaigning in unlikely battlegrounds like tonight's stop in Kansas, where Democrats haven't…
Where the listed words were said
Senator Marshall eager for Trump's visit. We need his supporters to get out and vote all across the state of Kansas now. But in Johnson…
…David. All right. Ginger Zee with us here tonight. Ginger, thank you. Tonight, our team inside Ukraine and what they witnessed firsthand, our crew scrambling
We turn now to France. We're also live in that country tonight where violent protests have been sweeping across much of the country. stores looted,…
…and the dangerous medical condition discovered in his lungs. Super Bowl MVP Jalen Hurts and the blood clots in his lungs and in his leg.
And after the president lifted restrictions on Russian diesel, Putin can now sell diesel to the United States. And now Ukraine claims Elon Musk's Starlink…
…in the next 24 hours before things relax by Wednesday, Thursday. Coastal flood alerts are up because it's pushing a ton of water at the…
…of letters and packages need anything shipped while i'm gone save the gas stamps.com lets you print postage and schedule pickups right from your desk…
…Ran and Ali, our thanks to you as well. We're going to turn now to the dangerous nor'easter hitting parts of the east coast tonight.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-19:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-19:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP