Will “Flood / Flooding” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Flood / Flooding” was said on World News Tonight in 8 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 25, 2026 (89%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 14, 2026 – Oct 26, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 8.
- Last 10
- 8/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 8 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Flood / Flooding
- Probability
- 71% · n=9
- Settled
- 8/9 (89%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
9 counted.
Also breaking tonight, the flood alerts on both coasts. Dangerous wind gusts, homes in danger, a dangerous king tide hitting from Florida up to the…
Jay, thank you. At this hour, we are tracking flood alerts and dangerous winds on both coasts. In fact, what's called a dangerous king tide…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: any host or reporter
2 counted.
…in the next 24 hours before things relax by Wednesday, Thursday. Coastal flood alerts are up because it's pushing a ton of water at the…
…That's where you're going to have erosion problems and potential for coastal flooding onto roadways. David. All right. Ginger Zee with us here tonight. Ginger,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Flood / Flooding |  Kalshi | Yes | 9 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Flood / Flooding | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Flood / Flooding” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Flood / Flooding” was said on World News Tonight in 8 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 25, 2026 (89%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Flood / Flooding” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Flood / Flooding’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/flood-or-flooding (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=flood%20%2F%20flooding · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP