Will “Strait Of Hormuz” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Strait Of Hormuz” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Strait Of Hormuz
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
5 counted.
…team tonight on the USS George Washington Carrier Group near the Strait of Hormuz. Tonight, we have exclusive access where they're monitoring Iranian missile and…
Tonight to the Strait of Hormuz in this war in Iran, our team on the USS George Washington carrier group with exclusive access where they're…
Counts: any host or reporter
4 counted.
…the midterms. Pierre Thomas standing by on what we've learned. Tonight, our team on board, the USS George Washington, right near the Strait of Hormuz.
…Our team on board the USS George Washington tonight near the Strait of Hormuz. American fighter jets launching into the night. We're there just days…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Strait Of Hormuz |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Strait Of Hormuz | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Strait Of Hormuz | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Strait Of Hormuz” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Strait Of Hormuz” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Strait Of Hormuz” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Strait Of Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/strait-of-hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=strait%20of%20hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP