Will “Tesla / SpaceX” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Tesla / SpaceX” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Tesla / SpaceX
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
8 counted.
And flying cars. Tesla tonight unveiling its new vehicle, cars with rocket thrusters, zero to 60 in less than a second. Whit Johnson shows us…
…later tonight, you're not going to believe this. the car that flies. Tesla unveiling its new vehicle tonight. Yes, cars with rocket thrusters, zero to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tesla / SpaceX |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tesla / SpaceX | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often is “Tesla / SpaceX” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Tesla / SpaceX” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Tesla / SpaceX” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Tesla / SpaceX’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/spacex-or-tesla (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=spacex%20%2F%20tesla · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP