ABC World News Tonight, October 19, 2026
On the Oct 19, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 10 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 68%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| France / French | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jalen Hurts | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 51%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Nor'easter | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Strait Of Hormuz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Zacharia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tesla / SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alberta | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
2 matches for “Nor'easter”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
What this means for his future. The nor'easter right off the coast tonight. Dangerous winds and this is on the move. We'll go to Ginger…
…Ran and Ali, our thanks to you as well. We're going to turn now to the dangerous nor'easter hitting parts of the east coast tonight.
Where the listed words were said
…every night. Tonight, the breaking news as we come on the air after Monday Night Football. The arrest tonight, the alleged threats against President Trump.
…David. All right. Ginger Zee with us here tonight. Ginger, thank you. Tonight, our team inside Ukraine and what they witnessed firsthand, our crew scrambling
…suspending sanctions against vladimir putin and look at this tonight the remarkable moment a ukrainian drone rescues a wounded soldier we're also live from france
alleged threat against the president. Also Super Bowl MVP quarterback Jalen Hurts and the discovery in his lungs. But we do begin tonight with the…
And after the president lifted restrictions on Russian diesel, Putin can now sell diesel to the United States. And now Ukraine claims Elon Musk's Starlink…
…Trump voter, tells our John Carl what he cares about right now is the sky-high cost of diesel and fertilizer, not who Donald Trump supports.
…in the next 24 hours before things relax by Wednesday, Thursday. Coastal flood alerts are up because it's pushing a ton of water at the…
…U.S. is heading in the wrong direction. 71% say the price of gas is unaffordable. President Trump campaigning in unlikely battlegrounds like tonight's stop in…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-19:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-19:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP