ABC World News Tonight, September 10, 2026
On the Sep 10, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 6 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 17 of 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 25%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 61%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Dividend / Stimulus | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 42%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 56%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 30%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Hurricane | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Amazon / 767 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Apple / iPhone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable Care Act / Obamacare | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Talarico | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Biden | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
Tonight, the warning about AI after a researcher quit. Tonight, we now hear from him, and now Anthropic revealing an alarming finding of their own.…
…$5,000 pledge to voters. The president now promising $5,000 to every American adult if Republicans win both the House and the Senate in the midterms.
We begin tonight with President Trump's $5,000 promise, a check for every American adult if Republicans win the midterm elections. Tonight, Democrats calling it a…
…Garcia noting time and time again, Trump has told Americans to expect dividend checks that never came. He says this offer is no different. The…
…no clear signs that is happening. And with the midterms looming and gas prices soaring 14 cents in just the last week, averaging $4.28 per…
…so important and critical. Matt Rivers, thank you. Tonight for a second time, the Supreme Court is blocking a redrawn Republican-backed congressional map in Missouri.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-10:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-10:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP