Will “Republican” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Republican” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 7.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Republican
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…ALREADY THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY BLOCK CERTIFICATION OF THE ALASKA SENATE RACE IF THE REPUBLICAN DOES NOT WIN. PRESIDENT TRUMP TONIGHT SAYING HE TOLD THE DOJ
…AS A CHILD BECAUSE OF ABUSE. TONIGHT, PRESIDENT TRUMP DEFENDING THE AD, BUT OHIO'S CURRENT REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR SAYING TAKE IT DOWN. IN NEW YORK CITY
…Tonight, the midterms and the backlash. The Ohio race for governor. The Republican ad taking aim at the Democrat who's in the lead. Amy Actton…
But Republican Senator Roger Marshall now finds himself neck and neck with Adam Hamilton, pastor of the largest Methodist church in the country. It's a…
…this tonight, and here's Rachel Scott. Tonight, after a fierce outcry from Republicans, Democrats and faith leaders, President Trump canceling plans to live stream the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes | 9 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often is “Republican” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Republican” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Republican” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP