Will “Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1.

36%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any host or reporter
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any host or reporter
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi

Probability
36% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 15, 2026 · Oct 15, 2026 · 13:05In transcript

…helping Saudi Arabia in its ongoing fight against the Iran-backed refugees in Yemen, or if President Trump decides to take additional action against Iran, this…

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026Yemen / Yemeni / HouthiKalshiNo0
Sep 15, 2026Yemen / Yemeni / HouthiKalshiNo0
Sep 14, 2026Yemen / Yemeni / HouthiKalshiYes2
Sep 10, 2026Yemen / Yemeni / HouthiKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
What is the probability “Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi” is said on World News Tonight next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/houthi-or-yemen-or-yemeni (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=houthi%20%2F%20yemen%20%2F%20yemeni · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP