Will “Dividend / Stimulus” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Dividend / Stimulus” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Dividend / Stimulus
- Probability
- 39% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dividend / Stimulus |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dividend / Stimulus | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dividend / Stimulus | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How often is “Dividend / Stimulus” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Dividend / Stimulus” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Dividend / Stimulus” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Dividend / Stimulus’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/dividend-or-stimulus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=dividend%20%2F%20stimulus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP