Face the Nation (CBS), September 6, 2026
On the Sep 6, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 7 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 12 | 28 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | 5 | 9 | ✓ | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 4 | 17 | ✓ | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 3 | 23 | ✓ | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 2 | 10 | ✓ | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Solar / Windmill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 16 | ✓ | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
7 matches for “Democrat”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…chair of the GOP midterm convention, businessman and Sunoco chairman Ray Washburne. Democrats plan to counter that convention to make their case. But what do…
…even more than oil prices. And this is – for 17 years, Democrat policies have been attack hydrocarbons, get as many refineries and coal plants…
Well, on that point, if Democrats are trying to flip the House, gain control of Congress, you've also got to convince people you're going to…
…has undoubtedly committed impeachable offenses. Is that the plan? Is that what people should be looking for if Democrats win, two years of impeachment inquiries?
Where the listed words were said
…out a change in regulations that'll allow American refiners to produce more gasoline and diesel with their existing equipment. So, seeing demand likely go down…
…we can do is add supply in Alaska, in the Gulf, in Venezuela, everywhere we can, and continue to grow the rate of exports from…
There will be elections, of course. Those are coming. But this is a win-win deal.
No, we are always open for a deal. That's President Trump's goal is always to have a negotiated settlement and not use a military solution…
…we've been involved. That's pretty tremendous. Alaska has been sanctioned more than Iran by Democratic politicians. We've got to unleash Alaska, and that's happening. The…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-09-06:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-09-06:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP