Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Face the Nation in 4 of 7 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (57%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 40% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 20 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Labor Day tomorrow, the end of the summer driving season. And the Trump administration a couple weeks ago rolled out a change in regulations that'll…
…refineries and coal plants closed. You could summarize their energy and climate policies in two words, expensive energy. President Trump has swum against that tide.
Counts: named speaker only
10 counted; 23 by speakers the rule does not count.
…going to fail. What happens next? I spent 4.5 hours with President Trump Friday. Here's what I think will happen next. If this deal fails,…
…we will obliterate them. So, to all the people listening, if this diplomatic effort fails, President Trump is going to take the Strait of Hormuz.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 22 by speakers the rule does not count.
…you a bunch of money. That was clearly a failed thing. President Trump is a much clearer, black-and-white, stronger leader, which means we're going to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| May 10, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Face the Nation in 4 of 7 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (57%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP