Will “ICE” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

42%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=ice

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

ICE

Probability
42% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard BlumenthalguestIn transcript

We've learned nothing from ICE. But we know that probably about 100 were detained and arrested. Very few of them, only a fraction, maybe six…

Richard BlumenthalguestIn transcript

…Subcommittee on Investigations has been doing spotlight forums on these abuses by ICE. I hope to have one in Danbury or in Connecticut later in…

Every match in the transcript

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 6, 2026ICEKalshiNo0
Aug 30, 2026ICEKalshiYes2

Questions

How often is “ICE” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026.
What is the probability “ICE” is said on Face the Nation next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP