Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on Face the Nation in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 54% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted; 10 by speakers the rule does not count.
…over the last months, over the last recent weeks. We've got U.S. gasoline production today at record high. We have demand for gasoline as we…
Absolutely. Diesel prices have been going down. Gasoline prices have been going down. I expect that to continue.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…strait is at least partially closed. And it's affected the price of oil. And oil's in everything, including gasoline. And – and it's painful as…
…– and I overheard you talking about the Strait of Hormuz and gasoline prices and everything. As the president careens towards a very substantial loss…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
12 counted; 16 by speakers the rule does not count.
…out a change in regulations that'll allow American refiners to produce more gasoline and diesel with their existing equipment. So, seeing demand likely go down…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on Face the Nation in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP