Will “Republican” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Republican” was said on Face the Nation in 2 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Republican
- Probability
- 36% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…latest move to ease pressure on Vladimir Putin sparks fury among some Republicans. From East to West and far North to Deep South, it's down…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…good question. The answer? Making sure his loyalists get out and vote Republican. Late Friday, Trump cut a deal with Vladimir Putin to import Russian…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…President Trump has been on a red state road trip to get Republicans to the polls. He now concedes that his party might have a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the U.S., Ambassador Alexander Yui. Plus, with midterm elections just weeks away, Republicans are scrambling to save their majority in both houses. We will ask…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Trump bars three major news organizations from covering the White House, as Republican concern over the impact of his policies continues to grow. The countdown…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Republican” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Republican” was said on Face the Nation in 2 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Republican” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP