Will “Venezuela” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Venezuela” was said on Face the Nation in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

45%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=venezuela

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Venezuela

Probability
45% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 1 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

5 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…we can do is add supply in Alaska, in the Gulf, in Venezuela, everywhere we can, and continue to grow the rate of exports from…

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…and ownership interest in some production there. But it's a win for Venezuela as well, because it helps the investment climate to draw more and…

Every match in the transcript

What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 6, 2026VenezuelaKalshiYes5
May 10, 2026VenezuelaKalshiNo0
Mar 9, 2026VenezuelaKalshiYes2

Questions

How often is “Venezuela” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Venezuela” was said on Face the Nation in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Venezuela” is said on Face the Nation next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Venezuela’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/venezuela (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP