Vlad Tenev: Robinhood's Keynote Event, Mar 5, 2026
At the keynote on Mar 5, 2026, Vlad Tenev said 2 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank / Banking | Yes | 1 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Private | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prediction Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Event Contract | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Perp / Perpetual | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trillion | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kalshi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 10%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blockchain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 7%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Robinhood (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
3 matches for “Retirement”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…has a different destination. Some of you might be saving for a retirement trip. Others might be looking forward to a safe and fun family…
Where the listed words were said
So, what is Robinhood Ventures, you might wonder? Well, it's about opening private markets to retail investors, which I find incredibly important. We believe we…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/vlad-tenev:2026-03-05:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=vlad-tenev:2026-03-05:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP