Will Vlad Tenev say “Event Contract”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Event Contract” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Dec 17, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Event Contract
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…pretty similar to what we're doing. I mean, they're CFTC regulated Yeah. Event contracts. And so it's under the same license that we use to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Event Contract |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Event Contract”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Event Contract” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Event Contract” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Event Contract’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/event-contract (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=event%20contract · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP