Will Vlad Tenev say “Crypto”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Crypto” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 61¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Crypto
- Probability
- 21% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 keynotes, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…all these different markets, not to mention all the stocks, options, and cryptos that are already available on Robin Hood. That's where Robin Hood Cortex…
…blue chip assets that we've had for a long time, equities, options, crypto, but then prediction markets have just been ripping. Okay. You know, we've…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Crypto”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Crypto” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Crypto” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Crypto’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/crypto (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=crypto · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP