Vlad Tenev: Robinhood's Keynote Event, Mar 5, 2026
At the keynote on Mar 5, 2026, Vlad Tenev said 2 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank / Banking | Yes | 1 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Private | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prediction Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Event Contract | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Perp / Perpetual | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trillion | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kalshi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 10%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blockchain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 7%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Robinhood (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
1 match for “Cortex”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
So many accounts though. I think I need Cortex to help me manage them. When's that coming? It's not this year, but maybe at
Where the listed words were said
So, what is Robinhood Ventures, you might wonder? Well, it's about opening private markets to retail investors, which I find incredibly important. We believe we…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/vlad-tenev:2026-03-05:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=vlad-tenev:2026-03-05:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP