Will Zohran Mamdani say “Dangerous / Emergency”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Dangerous / Emergency” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 27, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Dangerous / Emergency
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…so that it can be a fully functioning part of our city's response to mental health emergencies. Commissioner, is there anything you'd want to add?
…and then as a member of this department in Midtown South, the Emergency Service Unit and the Bomb Squad. Today, his son carries both his…
…family on Staten Island and your kid has to cross the same dangerous street every day, these proposals are also about speeding up the construction…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Dangerous / Emergency |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Dangerous / Emergency”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Dangerous / Emergency” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Dangerous / Emergency” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Dangerous / Emergency’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/dangerous-or-emergency (CC BY 4.0)
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