Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Jan 26, 2026
Kalshi listed 12 words for Zohran Mamdani’s press conference on Jan 26, 2026; 5 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 77%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 57%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Inside / Indoors | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD / FDNY | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Remote | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 43%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Snow Day | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 29%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 23%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | 22%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…Day, I also logged on with my own daughter before I left home. And so, I was pleased to announce that both times we were…
…city. Our top priority remains ensuring that every New Yorker can remain safe and warm throughout this prolonged cold period. Enhanced Code Blue protocols have…
…grateful to all the New Yorkers who heeded our guidance to stay inside and to practice caution, and to every person who contributed to the…
…us up here, goes out to the family of the deceased. The FDNY was at the scene of that fire about five minutes after the…
…previously scheduled day off for professional development, so our decision to go remote impacts a portion of our school system, about 500,000 students who are…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-26:presser-2b3bc5 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-26:presser-2b3bc5 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP