Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 23, 2026
Kalshi listed 14 words for Zohran Mamdani’s remarks on Jan 23, 2026; 4 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home / Housing | Yes | 72%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Snow / Storm | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 47%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 23%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| New Era | No | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Blizzard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crisis | No | 28%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 26%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Rat | No | 23%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 23%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…to encourage New Yorkers to do something that we don't often have the luxury of doing, which is to take a breath and stay home.
Good morning, New York City. This is the calm before the storm. Either late tomorrow evening or early Sunday morning, we are going to see…
…I want to encourage New Yorkers to do their part to stay safe this weekend. That is why we are issuing a hazardous travel advisory…
…Kerson. Just in advance of this weekend, we also know that [the] NYPD is going to be assisting with some of the traffic routing operations…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-23:remarks-0c81f8 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-23:remarks-0c81f8 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP