Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 8, 2026
In remarks on Jan 8, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 6 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 10 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 28 | 40 | ✓ | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Queens | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 0 | 7 | ✗ | 48%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Inequality / Crisis | Yes | 0 | 1 | ✗ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 0 | 3 | ✗ | 30%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / Fare Evasion | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Task Force | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Policy / Budget | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…their home. It is an honor to be here in Flatbush alongside Governor Hochul. Governor, thank you for your partnership, and thank you for your…
…children who live in our shelters. This will be felt when our economy hums with the hard work of parents who are able to raise…
…stand here as a proud mom of four, born and raised in Queens, and a person who has actually used these services to maintain my…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-08:remarks-45d208 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-08:remarks-45d208 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP