Will Zohran Mamdani say “Inequality / Crisis”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Inequality / Crisis” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jan 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Inequality / Crisis
- Probability
- 50% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…family, for his loved ones, for all of his colleagues across the crisis management system and, frankly, for our entire city. May he rest in…
…Cathleen Synge Morawetz proved what would become known as the first Morowitz inequality, fundamentally reshaping the modern understanding of how waves began. And in 2007,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Inequality / Crisis |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Inequality / Crisis | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Inequality / Crisis | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Inequality / Crisis | Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Inequality / Crisis”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Inequality / Crisis” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jan 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Inequality / Crisis” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Inequality / Crisis’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/crisis-or-inequality (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=crisis%20%2F%20inequality · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP