Will “Urgent” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Urgent” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Urgent
- Probability
- 28% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We need to grow our economy. Without a proper plan—a more urgent plan—for re-engaging with Europe on trade, next week’s Budget will not be the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…have already delivered real investment for Bedford, including our community diagnostic centre, urgent care centre and funding for the Putnoe walk-in centre. I was pleased…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in the past couple of years, whether that is free breakfast clubs, urgent capital funding for GP surgeries or the Kernow industrial growth fund. [Interruption.]…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…will deliver the change that is needed. We will look at the urgent recommendations of Baroness Amos and Donna Ockenden and deliver them. I thank…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shownQuestions
- How often is “Urgent” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Urgent” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “Urgent” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Urgent’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/urgent (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=urgent · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP