Will “Urgent” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Urgent” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

28%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Urgent

Probability
28% · n=7
Settled
1/7 (14%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Ed DaveyotherPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

We need to grow our economy. Without a proper plan—a more urgent plan—for re-engaging with Europe on trade, next week’s Budget will not be the…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Mohammad Yasin (Bedford) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 2 September 2026 · Sep 2, 2026In transcript

…have already delivered real investment for Bedford, including our community diagnostic centre, urgent care centre and funding for the Putnoe walk-in centre. I was pleased…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Noah Law (St Austell and Newquay) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…in the past couple of years, whether that is free breakfast clubs, urgent capital funding for GP surgeries or the Kernow industrial growth fund. [Interruption.]…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 1 July 2026 · Jul 1, 2026In transcript

…will deliver the change that is needed. We will look at the urgent recommendations of Baroness Amos and Donna Ockenden and deliver them. I thank…

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 8, 2026UrgentPolymarketNo–
Jun 30, 2026UrgentPolymarketNo–
Jun 10, 2026UrgentPolymarketNo–
Jun 4, 2026UrgentPolymarketYes–
Apr 29, 2026UrgentPolymarketNo–
Apr 22, 2026UrgentPolymarketNo–
Apr 15, 2026UrgentPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often is “Urgent” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Urgent” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (14%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
What is the probability “Urgent” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Urgent’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/urgent (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=urgent · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP