What is the probability Mark Carney says “Mars” next time?

36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Name: Mark Carney: “Mars” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney did not say “Mars” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 8, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 16:45 UTC

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his press conference? · not listed

What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? · not listed

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Apr 8, 2026	Mars	Kalshi	No

How often does Mark Carney say “Mars”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney did not say “Mars” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 8, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “Mars” next time?: 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Mars’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/mar (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=mar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP