Mark Carney: Appearance, Apr 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say with the Artemis II crew?
Markets
9 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moon | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rocket | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Apollo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gravity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NASA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Splashdown / Landing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFO / Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26APR08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP