Mark Carney: Press conference, Feb 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say during his Press Conference?
Markets
12 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Defense | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manufacturing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| EV / Electric Vehicle | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26FEB18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP