White House press briefing, Oct 14, 2026
Polymarket What will Katie Zacharia say during the next White House press briefing?
Markets
14 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: role: press secretary Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| President / Trump 30+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | Yes | 30%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Go Ahead | No | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Legacy Media | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Save America | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SI / Super Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transgender | No | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 37%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Truth Social | No | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | No | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 30%n=30 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-katie-zacharia-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-20261012 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP