White House press briefing, Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing?
Markets
27 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go ahead 3+ times | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Congress | Yes | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat / Democratic | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Everyone / Everybody | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pink | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| President 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thing 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| TrumpRx / TrumpRx.gov | Yes | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Health / Healthcare | Yes | 26%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Strait / Hormuz | No | 61%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 59%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Commander In Chief | No | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas | No | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| President 30+ times | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Department of War | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No Tax | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump Account | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alien / Aliens.gov | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stock / Market | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 34%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Pete / Hegseth | No | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 26%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 24%n=48 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-drpt-oz-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-20260602132816499 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP