White House press briefing, Feb 21, 2025
Kalshi What will Press Sec. Leavitt say at her conference on Feb 20, 2025?
Markets
15 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: role: press secretary Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gaza | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tulsi / Gabbard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Eric Adams | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golden Age | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Greenland | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| TikTok | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Woke | No | 25%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSECPRESSMENTION-25AUG27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP