Will Donald Trump say “Tips”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tips” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2024 (60%), most recently on Oct 20, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tips
- Probability
- 40% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I did it in my first term also, including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security for our…
…American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security. You don't…
…in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security for our great…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tips”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tips” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2024 (60%), most recently on Oct 20, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tips” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tips’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tip (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tip · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP