Will Donald Trump say “Helicopter”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Helicopter” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 3, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Helicopter
- Probability
- 40% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to build for they've been looking to build that for about since helicopters I don't know when when did helicopters since helicopters they've been looking…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Helicopter |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Helicopter | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Helicopter |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Helicopter | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Helicopter | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Helicopter | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Helicopter”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Helicopter” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 3, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Helicopter” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Helicopter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/helicopter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=helicopter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP