Will Donald Trump say “Board of Peace”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Board of Peace” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 12, 2025 (38%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Board of Peace
- Probability
- 47% · n=8
- Settled
- 3/8 (38%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Board of Peace |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Board of Peace |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Board of Peace | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Board of Peace | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Board of Peace | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Board of Peace | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Board of Peace | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Board of Peace | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Board of Peace | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Board of Peace”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Board of Peace” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 12, 2025 (38%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Board of Peace” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Board of Peace’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/board-of-peace (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=board%20of%20peace · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP