Donald Trump: Posts window, Mar 1, 2026
Polymarket What will Donald Trump post this week? (February 23 - March 1)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Feb 23, 2026 to Mar 1, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
21 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Get out and vote | Yes | – | 0 | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| President DJT | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SAVE America Act | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scale | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| State of the Union | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thank you for your attention | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scam | Yes | – | 0 | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | – | 0 | 33%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | – | 0 | 30%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| AOC | No | – | 0 | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hoax | No | – | 0 | 42%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Bubble | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Clown | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Board of Peace | No | – | 0 | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| MTG / Marjorie Taylor Greene | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Minneapolis | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rigged Election | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Insurrection Act | No | – | 0 | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 30%n=82 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-donald-trump-post-this-week-february-23-march-1 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP