Donald Trump: Weekly window, Oct 12, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (October 7 - October 12)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Oct 7, 2025 to Oct 12, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum / Pritzker | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Board of Peace | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russell / Vought | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tennessee | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cadillac / Sombrero | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud waste and abuse | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paper tiger | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oracle / Google | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Coal | No | – | 0 | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | – | 0 | 39%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 24%n=131 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-october-7-october-12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP