Will Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times at 9 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times
- Probability
- 59% · n=12
- Settled
- 9/12 (75%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
33 counted.
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
…some I would rather cuz who can believe? So they allowed 25 million people in and we allowed in the last seven zero. I said,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 33 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times at 9 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-trillion-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20trillion%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP