Will “First Time / First Timer” be said on the next Winter Olympics broadcast?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “First Time / First Timer” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 9 of 10 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (90%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 7 times
- Counts
- play-by-play or color
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Winter Olympics
First Time / First Timer
- Probability
- 72% · n=10
- Settled
- 9/10 (90%)
Next listing counts: play-by-play or color
We don’t have transcripts for Winter Olympics yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | First Time / First Timer |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 20, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 20, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 19, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 19, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 18, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 18, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 18, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 17, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 17, 2026 | First Time / First Timer | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “First Time / First Timer” said on Winter Olympics broadcasts?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “First Time / First Timer” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 9 of 10 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (90%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “First Time / First Timer” is said on Winter Olympics broadcasts next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.
Cite parrot.markets, “Winter Olympics: ‘First Time / First Timer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/winter-olympics/words/first-time-or-first-timer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=winter-olympics&word=first%20time%20%2F%20first%20timer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=winter-olympics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP