Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 17, 2026

Tue, Feb 17GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

19 words · 11 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Shootout Yes73%n=2 from settlement history–
Shutout Yes73%n=2 from settlement history–
Fight / Fighting Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
First Time / First Timer Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ohio State Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
NHL Yes61%n=3 from settlement history–
Captain Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crowd / Crowded Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Glass Yes54%n=2 from settlement history–
Overtime Yes54%n=2 from settlement history–
Hat Trick Yes36%n=2 from settlement history–
Short Side No73%n=2 from settlement history–
Honey Badger No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Comeback / Come back No54%n=2 from settlement history–
Veteran No54%n=2 from settlement history–
Miracle on Ice No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Turin No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
What a Goal / What a Shot No36%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB17C · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP