Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 17, 2026

Tue, Feb 17GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

17 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Shootout Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Short Side Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Shutout Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Fight / Fighting Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
First Time / First Timer Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Honey Badger Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Ohio State Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
NHL No74%n=2 from settlement history–
Comeback / Come back No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Glass No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Overtime No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Veteran No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Miracle on Ice No–new new word, no probability yet–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment No–new new word, no probability yet–
Turin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hat Trick No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
What a Goal / What a Shot No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB17B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP